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Home Thought Analysis

English Premier League 2026 Mid-Season Team Odds & Title Contenders

Total Football Analysis by Total Football Analysis
February 11, 2026
in Thought Analysis
0
English Premier League 2026 Mid-Season Team Odds & Title Contenders

We’re just past the midway stage of the Premier League in the 2025/26 season, and although there are no outstanding surprises thus far, we are seeing the defending champions struggle to even get a top-four spot.

The expected contenders for relegation are down at the bottom fighting for survival, while Manchester United seems to be on the rise under the guidance of former midfielder Michael Carrick.

Arsenal and Manchester City are continuing to go toe-to-toe once more for the title, so let’s take a look at the mid-season odds from the UK betting sites for a Premier League triumph and relegation as we approach the summer of 2026.

Title Contenders

There is no real surprise with the title contenders in 2025/26, with the only exception being Liverpool’s dismal attempt at defending the trophy and getting to 21 titles in English football.

The Reds currently sit outside the top four, as pressure constantly mounts on Arne Slot.

As of now, Liverpool have already lost almost double the number of games they lost in their title triumph from last season.

This leaves the two usual contenders from the past four seasons, Arsenal and Manchester City.

However, things are very different this year with Arsenal, for a change, running away with it.

The Gunners have slipped up recently, with the gap being reduced from nine to six, but they are the outstanding favourites.

As of now, Arsenal are 2/13 (1.15) to claim the title, while City are sitting with odds of 5/1 (6.0) to claim Pep Guardiola’s seventh title – this is the highest they have been in a number of years.

Ultimately, it’s Arsenal’s to lose, and with them fighting on all four fronts in a competitive sense, the club looks pretty unstoppable right now.

To Get Top Four

As you would expect, odds for the two main title contenders are extremely high for a top-four finish, but things have changed recently for other clubs.

The addition of Carrick to United has drastically changed things at Old Trafford, with them, ironically, getting victories over both Arsenal and City in his first two games in charge. 

This has now forced United into 10/11 (1.91) for a finish in the top four of the Champions League, as they creep up on Aston Villa in fourth.

Speaking of which, you can get the Villains at 8/15 (1.53) for a place in a top-four finish.

As for the defending champions, Liverpool are down in sixth at the time of writing and are struggling to even get a Champions League spot, nevermind defend their title.

They are 8/11 (1.73) for a top four spot, which oddly puts them ahead of the in-form United, who currently sit fourth.

Chelsea have had a topsy-turvy campaign in 2025/26, with some excellent performances and decent stints of form overshadowed by a relatively inconsistent season.

The sacking of Enzo Maresca came after the club was struggling in its top-four battle, but they appointed Liam Rosenior, with the fanbase fairly unhappy about it.

He, too, has had an up-and-down beginning to his time at Stamford Bridge, but with the form of players like Enzo Fernández, the Blues are still in the running for a top-four spot.

Currently, the club is 13/8 (2.63) for a top-four spot.

That leaves us with the last one for the running, and the 2025/26 surprise package: Brentford.

The Bees are 25/1 (26.0) for a spot in the top four, and although this means this is incredibly unlikely, it’s been a sensational season for the London outfit.

Relegation Odds

Like what is happening at the top of the table, there are no real surprises with what is going on at the bottom.

Currently, it’s Wolverhampton Wanderers who are dead last and seemingly doomed for the drop. 

Elsewhere in 19th is Burnley, who earned promotion under Scott Parker just last season.

They themselves have already lost 15 times at the time of writing and won just three games.

Parker’s men are also in serious trouble.

Furthermore, in what would be their first relegation since 2010/11, West Ham United are fighting the drop like they haven’t done since that dreadful campaign where they finished 20th.

They are now at 1/3 (1.33) for another relegation, and things are really not looking good for the Hammers, as they have let in the most goals so far this season.

Other teams are still not entirely out of the picture, however, with Leeds United at 6/1 (7.0) for yet another relegation after promotion last season.

The Whites have had some decent results this campaign, including two draws with Liverpool, one with United, and a win over Chelsea.

Nottingham Forest – despite their sensational campaign last season that saw them land in the Europa Conference League – sit just a few points above the drop zone.

Forest have been excellent in Europe itself and are still in with a shout of a place in the knockout rounds, but their league form speaks very differently.

They are 13/2 (7.2) for the drop, and it seems as if letting Nuno Espirito Santo go after the first few games of the season was a very, very bad idea.

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