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Football Predictions & Tips

Every fixture our model rates — the pick, model probability, where the value is vs the market, and confidence. Every pick is logged and graded after the match for an honest track record.

Kick-off	Match	Model pick	Model %	Value	Best odds
Tue 11 Aug15:00	Kairat Almaty v Levski Sofia Champions League	Levski Sofia	45%	Draw +17%	2.88Betninja	View →
Tue 11 Aug16:00	Sabah FA v Aarhus Champions League	Sabah FA	45%	Draw +17%	2.40Betninja	View →
Tue 11 Aug17:00	Kauno Žalgiris v Dinamo Zagreb Champions League	Dinamo Zagreb	45%	—	1.40Betninja	View →
Tue 11 Aug17:30	NEC Nijmegen v Olympiakos Piraeus Champions League	Olympiakos Piraeus	45%	Draw +18%	2.50Betninja	View →
Tue 11 Aug18:00	FK Crvena Zvezda v Hapoel Beer Sheva Champions League	FK Crvena Zvezda	45%	—	1.33Betninja	View →
Tue 11 Aug18:15	Celje v Ararat-Armenia Champions League	Ararat-Armenia	45%	—	7.50Betninja	View →
Tue 11 Aug18:15	Slovan Bratislava v Mjallby AIF Champions League	Slovan Bratislava	45%	Draw +19%	1.87Betninja	View →
Tue 11 Aug18:30	Sturm Graz v Fenerbahçe Champions League	Fenerbahçe	45%	Draw +20%	1.98Betninja	View →
Tue 11 Aug19:00	Lyon v Sparta Praha Champions League	Sparta Praha	45%	—	5.53Betninja	View →
Fri 21 Aug19:00	Arsenal v Coventry Premier League	Arsenal	50%	—	—	View →
Sat 22 Aug11:30	Hull City v Manchester United Premier League	Manchester United	50%	—	—	View →
Sat 22 Aug14:00	Everton v Crystal Palace Premier League	Everton	50%	—	—	View →
Sat 22 Aug14:00	Nottingham Forest v Leeds Premier League	Leeds	45%	—	—	View →
Sat 22 Aug16:30	Brentford v Tottenham Premier League	Tottenham	50%	—	—	View →
Sun 23 Aug13:00	Brighton v Aston Villa Premier League	Aston Villa	50%	—	—	View →
Sun 23 Aug13:00	Manchester City v Bournemouth Premier League	Manchester City	50%	—	—	View →
Sun 23 Aug15:30	Newcastle v Liverpool Premier League	Liverpool	50%	—	—	View →
Mon 24 Aug19:00	Fulham v Chelsea Premier League	Chelsea	45%	—	—	View →
Fri 28 Aug19:00	Crystal Palace v Manchester City Premier League	Manchester City	50%	—	—	View →
Sat 29 Aug14:00	Bournemouth v Everton Premier League	Bournemouth	50%	—	—	View →
Sat 29 Aug16:30	Tottenham v Newcastle Premier League	Newcastle	50%	—	—	View →
Sun 30 Aug13:00	Chelsea v Brighton Premier League	Brighton	50%	—	—	View →
Sun 30 Aug13:00	Sunderland v Fulham Premier League	Fulham	50%	—	—	View →
Sun 30 Aug15:30	Manchester United v Ipswich Premier League	Manchester United	50%	—	—	View →
Fri 4 Sep19:00	Ipswich v Liverpool Premier League	Liverpool	50%	—	—	View →
Sat 5 Sep11:30	Newcastle v Bournemouth Premier League	Bournemouth	50%	—	—	View →
Sat 5 Sep14:00	Brentford v Sunderland Premier League	Brentford	50%	—	—	View →
Sat 5 Sep14:00	Fulham v Crystal Palace Premier League	Crystal Palace	50%	—	—	View →

28 fixtures rated · Value = no-vig model edge vs the best market price (plausible outcomes only) · model from API-Football, value & ranking by TFA.

53.8%

Win rate

+0.6%

ROI @ 1u

+0.67u

Profit

117

Settled · 26 open

Last 20:LLLLLWLWLLLLWLWWWLLW

Settled	Match	Pick	Price	Result
5 Aug	Fenerbahçe v Sturm Graz2-0	Sturm Graz	6.43	LOST
5 Aug	Aarhus v Sabah FA2-1	Sabah FA	7.60	LOST
4 Aug	Dinamo Zagreb v Kauno Žalgiris5-0	Kauno Žalgiris	17.50	LOST
4 Aug	Sparta Praha v Lyon2-1	Lyon	1.90	LOST
4 Aug	Olympiakos Piraeus v NEC Nijmegen0-0	Olympiakos Piraeus	1.63	LOST
4 Aug	Levski Sofia v Kairat Almaty1-0	Levski Sofia	1.87	WON
4 Aug	Hapoel Beer Sheva v FK Crvena Zvezda1-0	FK Crvena Zvezda	2.37	LOST
4 Aug	Ararat-Armenia v Celje2-1	Ararat-Armenia	2.87	WON
4 Aug	Mjallby AIF v Slovan Bratislava1-2	Mjallby AIF	1.95	LOST
30 Jul	Benfica v FC ST. Gallen5-0	FC ST. Gallen	16.50	LOST
30 Jul	CSKA Sofia v Qarabag0-0	Qarabag	2.32	LOST
30 Jul	Ferencvarosi TC v Twente2-2	Ferencvarosi TC	2.67	LOST
30 Jul	PAOK v Dynamo Kyiv2-0	PAOK	1.83	WON
30 Jul	Pafos v HNK Hajduk Split4-0	HNK Hajduk Split	4.30	LOST
30 Jul	Hradec Králové v Tromso3-1	Hradec Králové	2.90	WON
30 Jul	FC Midtjylland v Beşiktaş0-2	Beşiktaş	3.75	WON
30 Jul	Maccabi Tel Aviv v Sheriff Tiraspol1-0	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1.50	WON
29 Jul	Slovan Bratislava v Saburtalo1-1	Slovan Bratislava	1.34	LOST
29 Jul	Gornik Zabrze v Fenerbahçe1-1	Fenerbahçe	1.75	LOST
29 Jul	FK Crvena Zvezda v Larne5-0	FK Crvena Zvezda	1.08	WON
29 Jul	Lech Poznan v Aarhus1-4	Lech Poznan	1.90	LOST
29 Jul	Hapoel Beer Sheva v Vikingur Reykjavik2-0	Vikingur Reykjavik	4.90	LOST
29 Jul	Universitatea Craiova v Levski Sofia2-2	Levski Sofia	3.10	LOST
29 Jul	Kairat Almaty v Omonia Nicosia1-0	Omonia Nicosia	2.85	LOST
29 Jul	Kauno Žalgiris v KI Klaksvik1-0	KI Klaksvik	4.30	LOST
28 Jul	Celje v Egnatia Rrogozhinë2-2	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	9.15	LOST
28 Jul	Shamrock Rovers v Ararat-Armenia2-1	Ararat-Armenia	4.30	LOST
28 Jul	Heart Of Midlothian v Sturm Graz0-2	Sturm Graz	3.45	WON
28 Jul	Lincoln Red Imps FC v Mjallby AIF0-0	Mjallby AIF	1.39	LOST
28 Jul	KuPS v Sabah FA0-2	Sabah FA	2.50	WON
23 Jul	Qarabag v CSKA Sofia0-0	Qarabag	1.61	LOST
22 Jul	Levski Sofia v Universitatea Craiova1-0	Levski Sofia	2.30	WON
21 Jul	KI Klaksvik v Kauno Žalgiris0-0	KI Klaksvik	2.37	LOST
21 Jul	Sabah FA v KuPS1-0	Sabah FA	1.71	WON
21 Jul	Ararat-Armenia v Shamrock Rovers2-0	Ararat-Armenia	2.45	WON
20 Jul	Spain v Argentina1-0	Spain	2.42	WON
18 Jul	France v England4-6	France	1.99	LOST
16 Jul	Vestri v Qarabag0-3	Qarabag	1.07	WON
16 Jul	Žilina v HNK Hajduk Split2-1	HNK Hajduk Split	2.35	LOST
16 Jul	Ferencvarosi TC v Vojvodina3-0	Ferencvarosi TC	1.45	WON
16 Jul	Derry City v CSKA Sofia1-2	CSKA Sofia	2.07	WON
15 Jul	England v Argentina1-2	Argentina	3.15	WON
15 Jul	Sutjeska v Kairat Almaty0-2	Kairat Almaty	1.90	WON
15 Jul	Atert Bissen v KI Klaksvik1-2	KI Klaksvik	1.98	WON
15 Jul	Universitatea Craiova v ML Vitebsk1-0	Universitatea Craiova	1.25	WON
14 Jul	France v Spain0-2	Spain	3.32	WON
14 Jul	Shamrock Rovers v Floriana5-1	Floriana	9.00	LOST
14 Jul	Larne v Tre Fiori2-1	Larne	1.20	WON
14 Jul	The New Saints v Sabah FA1-2	Sabah FA	1.57	WON
14 Jul	Gyori ETO FC v Vikingur Reykjavik2-2	Vikingur Reykjavik	4.00	LOST

Every pick is snapshotted at publish (pick + best price) and graded against the final result — wins/losses, ROI and profit are computed at 1u level stakes. Nothing is deleted.

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