The home of football tactics, data & odds
Odds 18+
HomePredictionsMexico vs England
World Cup · Round of 16

Mexico vs England Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

MexicoMexico
23
Full time
EnglandEngland
kick-off · Round of 16
Venue Estadio Banorte · Mexico City
Referee A. Faghani
Round Round of 16
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
Mexico to win
Model 45% vs implied 31% — edge +14%
3.15
best at Betninja
Model angle · Double chance : Mexico or draw
Best value: Draw +14% — model rates it higher than the 3.20 price at Betano

Mexico are rated 45% to win, with the draw at 45% and England at 10%. The model's recommended angle is Double chance : Mexico or draw, where the price still understates the true chance.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
Mexico45%
Draw45%
England10%
Recent form
MexicoWWWW
EnglandWDWW
Last 5 goals — Mexico 8 for / 0 ag · England 8 for / 3 ag
Head-to-head strength
55%Form45%
50%Attack50%
100%Defense0%
53%Overall48%
See every book's price for Mexico vs England
Popular betsAll markets →
Correct Score
1:1 6.50Betninja
0:1 7.00Betninja
1:0 8.50Betninja
Anytime Scorer
Mateo Chavez 19.00Betninja
Erik Lira 19.00Betninja
Jorge Sanchez 19.00Betninja
Double Chance
Home/Draw 1.57Betninja
Draw/Away 1.42Betninja
Home/Away 1.41Betninja
Group A standings
# Team Pld GD Pts Form
1 Mexico 3 +6 9 LWWWW
2 South Africa 3 -1 4 LWDL
3 South Korea 3 -1 3 LLW
4 Czechia 3 -4 1 LDL
Group L standings
# Team Pld GD Pts Form
1 England 3 +4 7 WWWDW
2 Croatia 3 0 6 LWWL
3 Ghana 3 0 4 LLDW
4 Panama 3 -4 0 LLL

Related analysis

FIFA World Cup 2026
World Cup 2026 Quarter-Final Norway vs England Prediction & Best Bets
July 8, 2026
FIFA World Cup 2026
Eustáquio’s Pivot Role Powers Canada Into World Cup Knockout History
July 5, 2026
FIFA World Cup 2026
World Cup 2026 Round of 16 Match 4 Prediction & Best Bets
July 2, 2026
Player Analysis
Eustáquio: The Defensive Anchor and Creative Force Behind Canada’s Historic Win
July 1, 2026
18+
Please gamble responsibly. When live, 18+/21+ only, region-dependent. BeGambleAware.org · GamCare · National Council on Problem Gambling. TFA may earn commission from operators listed — this never affects our analysis or rankings.

Total Football Analysis — tactical journalism, now with live odds, model-backed predictions and an honest betting layer.

© 2026 Total Football Analysis. Odds via our live aggregation feed — prices change constantly, always confirm at the bookmaker.