The home of football tactics, data & odds
Odds 18+
Live scoresLive 28' FEY - GOA 0–0 26' TWE - PEC 0–1 AMA - LUS NAC - EST LEI - TON AJA - HEE FT POR - VIZ 2–0 FT ADO - GRO 1–4
HomePredictionsLeixoes vs Tondela
Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 2

Leixoes vs Tondela Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

LeixoesLeixoes
TondelaTondela
kick-off · Regular Season - 2
Referee L. M. Branco Godinho
Round Regular Season - 2
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
Tondela to win
Model 45% vs implied 32% — edge +13%
3.05
best at Betninja
Model angle · Combo Winner : Tondela and -3.5 goals
Best value: Draw +15% — model rates it higher than the 3.25 price at Dafabet

Leixoes are rated 10% to win, with the draw at 45% and Tondela at 45%. The model's recommended angle is Combo Winner : Tondela and -3.5 goals, where the price still understates the true chance.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
Leixoes10%
Draw45%
Tondela45%
Recent form
LeixoesL
TondelaW
Last 5 goals — Leixoes 0 for / 1 ag · Tondela 2 for / 1 ag
Head-to-head strength
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
50%Defense50%
40%Overall60%
Recent head-to-head
Leixoes v Tondela0-12025-03-10
Tondela v Leixoes2-12024-10-12
Leixoes v Tondela1-12024-03-03
Tondela v Leixoes4-22023-10-07
Tondela v Leixoes2-32023-04-08
See every book's price for Leixoes vs Tondela
Popular betsAll markets →
Correct Score
1:1 6.50Betninja
1:0 8.30Betninja
0:0 9.00Betninja
Double Chance
Draw/Away 1.55Betninja
Home/Draw 1.42Betninja
Home/Away 1.36Betninja

Related analysis

Analysis
From Hasebe and Sung-yueng Ki to Wataru Endo: finding the next top central midfielder in Asia – data analysis
November 10, 2021
Tactical Preview
Taça de Portugal 2018/19 Final Tactical Preview: Sporting CP vs FC Porto
May 24, 2019
Analysis
Unlocking Goals: Nacional’s offensive explosion engineered by Tiago Margarido – tactical analysis
February 2, 2024
Analysis
Primeira Liga: The next wave of talents in Portugal’s top-flight – data analysis
July 16, 2022
18+
Please gamble responsibly. When live, 18+/21+ only, region-dependent. BeGambleAware.org · GamCare · National Council on Problem Gambling. TFA may earn commission from operators listed — this never affects our analysis or rankings.

Total Football Analysis — tactical journalism, now with live odds, model-backed predictions and an honest betting layer.

© 2026 Total Football Analysis. Odds via our live aggregation feed — prices change constantly, always confirm at the bookmaker.