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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2

Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

Arouca

17:00

Sun 16 Aug

Moreirense

Sun 16 Aug, 17:00 UTC kick-off · Regular Season - 2

Referee A. Narciso

Round Regular Season - 2

Kick-off Sun 16 Aug, 17:00 UTC

TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%

Recommended bet

Moreirense to win

Model 45% vs implied 25% — edge +20%

3.84

best at Betninja

Model angle · Double chance : draw or Moreirense

Best value: Moreirense +20% — model rates it higher than the 3.84 price at Pinnacle

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Arouca are rated 10% to win, with the draw at 45% and Moreirense at 45%. The model's recommended angle is Double chance : draw or Moreirense, where the price still understates the true chance.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model

Arouca10%

Draw45%

Moreirense45%

Recent form

AroucaW

MoreirenseD

Last 5 goals — Arouca 1 for / 0 ag · Moreirense 2 for / 2 ag

Head-to-head strength

75%Form25%

33%Attack67%

100%Defense0%

45%Overall55%

Recent head-to-head

Moreirense v Arouca0-12026-03-21

Arouca v Moreirense0-22025-11-02

Arouca v Moreirense1-02025-01-24

Moreirense v Arouca3-12024-08-18

Moreirense v Arouca1-02024-03-17

See every book's price for Arouca vs Moreirense→

Popular betsAll markets →

Dinis Pinto 17.00Betninja

Gilberto Batista 17.00Betninja

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Double Chance

Draw/Away 1.75Betninja

Home/Away 1.36Betninja

Home/Draw 1.32Betninja

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18+

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Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

Implied vs model

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