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Home › Predictions › Alverca vs Arouca
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9

Alverca vs Arouca Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

AlvercaAlverca
AroucaArouca
kick-off · Regular Season - 9
Venue FC Alverca Sports Complex · Alverca do Ribatejo
Round Regular Season - 9
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
Alverca to win
Model 45% vs implied 45% — edge +0%
2.21
best at Betninja
Model angle · Double chance : Alverca or draw
Best value: Draw +17% — model rates it higher than the 3.50 price at Betfair
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Alverca are rated 45% to win, with the draw at 45% and Arouca at 10%. The model's recommended angle is Double chance : Alverca or draw, where the price still understates the true chance.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
Alverca45%
Draw45%
Arouca10%
Recent form
AlvercaLDLDLWWW
AroucaWWLWDLDW
Last 5 goals — Alverca 10 for / 5 ag · Arouca 6 for / 5 ag
Head-to-head strength
56%Form44%
63%Attack38%
50%Defense50%
55%Overall46%
Recent head-to-head
Alverca v Arouca2-12026-04-24
Arouca v Alverca1-02025-12-14
See every book's price for Alverca vs Arouca→
Popular betsAll markets →
Correct Score
1:1 6.60Betninja
1:0 8.00Betninja
2:1 9.00Betninja
Anytime Scorer
Leo Shahar 13.00Betninja
Isaac James 13.00Betninja
Diogo Monteiro 13.00Betninja
Double Chance
Draw/Away 1.73Betninja
Home/Away 1.36Betninja
Home/Draw 1.33Betninja

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