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La Liga · Regular Season - 3

Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

AlavesAlaves
VillarrealVillarreal
kick-off · Regular Season - 3
Venue Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-Gasteiz
Referee I. Diaz
Round Regular Season - 3
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
Alaves to win
Model 45% vs implied 30% — edge +15%
3.25
best at Betninja
Model angle · Winner : Alaves
Best value: Draw +18% — model rates it higher than the 3.62 price at 1xBet
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Alaves are rated 45% to win, with the draw at 45% and Villarreal at 10%. The model's recommended angle is Winner : Alaves, where the price still understates the true chance.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
Alaves45%
Draw45%
Villarreal10%
Recent form
AlavesWD
VillarrealDD
Last 5 goals — Alaves 4 for / 1 ag · Villarreal 4 for / 4 ag
Head-to-head strength
67%Form33%
50%Attack50%
80%Defense20%
54%Overall46%
Recent head-to-head
Alaves v Villarreal1-12026-03-13
Villarreal v Alaves3-12026-01-10
Alaves v Villarreal1-02025-03-08
Villarreal v Alaves3-02024-11-09
Alaves v Villarreal1-12024-02-10
See every book's price for Alaves vs Villarreal→
Popular betsAll markets →
Correct Score
1:1 7.00Betninja
0:1 9.00Betninja
1:2 9.50Betninja
Anytime Scorer
Nikola Maras 19.00Betninja
Ville Koski 15.00Betninja
Castro Jonny Otto 15.00Betninja
Double Chance
Home/Draw 1.68Betninja
Draw/Away 1.40Betninja
Home/Away 1.33Betninja

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