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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

AjaxAjax
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
kick-off · Regular Season - 11
Venue Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
Round Regular Season - 11
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
AZ Alkmaar to win
Model angle · Combo Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar and +1.5 goals
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Ajax are rated 10% to win, with the draw at 45% and AZ Alkmaar at 45%. The model's recommended angle is Combo Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar and +1.5 goals.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
Ajax10%
Draw45%
AZ Alkmaar45%
Recent form
AjaxWDWLWWDDW
AZ AlkmaarWWWWWDWLD
Last 5 goals — Ajax 18 for / 7 ag · AZ Alkmaar 7 for / 7 ag
Head-to-head strength
58%Form42%
72%Attack28%
50%Defense50%
44%Overall57%
Recent head-to-head
AZ Alkmaar v Ajax1-12026-02-08
AZ Alkmaar v Ajax6-02026-01-14
Ajax v AZ Alkmaar0-22025-10-18
Ajax v AZ Alkmaar2-22025-03-16
AZ Alkmaar v Ajax2-02025-01-14

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