The home of football tactics, data & odds
Odds 18+
Home › Predictions › Tondela vs Farense
Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 11

Tondela vs Farense Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

TondelaTondela
FarenseFarense
kick-off · Regular Season - 11
Round Regular Season - 11
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
Tondela to win
Model 45% vs implied 47% — edge -2%
2.02
best at Betninja
Model angle · Double chance : Tondela or draw
Best value: Draw +17% — model rates it higher than the 3.42 price at Pinnacle

Tondela are rated 45% to win, with the draw at 45% and Farense at 10%. The model's recommended angle is Double chance : Tondela or draw.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
Tondela45%
Draw45%
Farense10%
Recent form
TondelaWLLLWWWLWD
FarenseWWDLDWWLDL
Last 5 goals — Tondela 8 for / 5 ag · Farense 10 for / 9 ag
Head-to-head strength
59%Form41%
44%Attack56%
64%Defense36%
52%Overall49%
Recent head-to-head
Farense v Tondela1-02023-09-27
Farense v Tondela3-12023-05-28
Tondela v Farense1-02023-01-22
Farense v Tondela1-02021-05-15
Tondela v Farense2-02021-01-30
See every book's price for Tondela vs Farense→
Popular betsAll markets →
Correct Score
1:1 6.60Betninja
1:0 6.80Betninja
2:1 9.00Betninja
Double Chance
Draw/Away 1.82Betninja
Home/Away 1.31Betninja
Home/Draw 1.30Betninja

Related analysis

Analysis
Unlocking Goals: Nacional’s offensive explosion engineered by Tiago Margarido – tactical analysis
February 2, 2024
Analysis
Primeira Liga: The next wave of talents in Portugal’s top-flight – data analysis
July 16, 2022
Analysis
Darwin Núñez Scouting Report At Liverpool 2022/2023 – Is He The Key Player In A Tactical Evolution At Liverpool?
May 29, 2025
Analysis
Finding the best central midfielders from Primeira Liga – data analysis
May 30, 2022
18+
Please gamble responsibly. When live, 18+/21+ only, region-dependent. BeGambleAware.org · GamCare · National Council on Problem Gambling. TFA may earn commission from operators listed — this never affects our analysis or rankings.

Total Football Analysis — tactical journalism, now with live odds, model-backed predictions and an honest betting layer.

© 2026 Total Football Analysis. Odds via our live aggregation feed — prices change constantly, always confirm at the bookmaker.