The home of football tactics, data & odds
Odds 18+
Live scoresLive 83' DRI - KAU 2–2 43' LAR - TRE 1–1 42' SHA - FLO 2–1 43' FRA - SPA 0–1 FT GYO - VIK 2–2 FT RIG - ARA 3–2 FT LEV - BOR 4–0 FT THE - SAB 1–2
Football Analysis

La Liga 2021/22: The ten most overperforming and underperforming goalscorers

We are eight match weeks into the 2021/22 La Liga season. Now might be a good time to look at the goalscorers charts to find out which players deserve to be in that list and which players are lucky to be there.

The following visualisation shows the ten most over-performing and under-performing goalscorers based on expected goals (xG) from the season so far. Even though it’s only a small sample-size, early season trends are very important to understand which players are finishing well and how long can their trend continue?

Karim Benzema, who is the league’s top scorer so far with nine goals, has outperformed his xG by 4.27 and is the biggest overperformer in the league. Benzema has been known to be clinical in front of the goal, especially during the last two or three years. That is why his overperformance in front of goal shouldn’t be surprising especially given the fact that he has outperformed his xG by at least four goals in two of the last three seasons.

Behind Benzema in the list is his Real Madrid teammate Vinícius Jr. Vinícius is having one of his best seasons in front of the goal with the Brazilian already finding the back of the net five times – his best tally in the league since moving to Madrid. Vinícius has outperformed his xG by 2.67. Luis Suárez comes third with an xG of 1.78 having scored four goals so far. Other interesting names in the top 10 for overperformance includes Suárez’s teammates Ángel Correa and Thomas Lemar,as well as Lucas Pérez

When it comes to xG underperformance, Celta Vigo’s Iago Aspas is the biggest underperformer with an xG of 4.48 scoring just two goals so far. Iñaki Williams of Athletic Bilbao, who recently set a record for the most consecutive appearances in the league, is second in the list for underperformers with an xG of 4.38 scoring only two goals. Depay, who has had a strong start to his first season at Barcelona, is also among the top five underperformers.

As mentioned earlier, it is still early in the season. However, it will be interesting to see how this trend changes and who are the biggest overperformers and underperformers come the end of the season.

Venkatanarayanan

Venkat is a Data Visualization Analyst at Total Football Analysis.

Venkat is passionate about all things data and is a graph nerd. He loves staring at fancy visualizations in Github during his free time. You can find him on X @VenkyReddevil.

18+
Please gamble responsibly. When live, 18+/21+ only, region-dependent. BeGambleAware.org · GamCare · National Council on Problem Gambling. TFA may earn commission from operators listed — this never affects our analysis or rankings.

Total Football Analysis — tactical journalism, now with live odds, model-backed predictions and an honest betting layer.

© 2026 Total Football Analysis. Odds via our live aggregation feed — prices change constantly, always confirm at the bookmaker.