The new English Premier League season is now barely two weeks away, with Manchester United’s home clash against Fulham launching the brand new campaign in earnest.
You can wager on the new season at the 1Win betting site and similar platforms, while ideally accessing highly competitive odds and a broad range of EPL betting markets.
You may also bet based on last season’s trends and statistics. But what are the most insightful trends from 2023/24, and how can they inform your selections ahead of the new campaign?
Back Erling Haaland to Win the 2024/25 Golden Boot
While Erling Haaland may not have hit the halcyon heights of the previous campaign in 2023/24, he top scored with 27 Premier League goals (five clear of his nearest rival Cole Palmer).
Haaland also missed a significant portion of the season, while scoring at a rate of 0.40 goals per shots on target. So, he offers significant value to top score again in 2024/25, and there are a couple of key additional reasons for this.
Firstly, his xG value of 29.2 was significantly higher than any other player, highlighting Man City’s incredible ball possession and ability to create a high volume of chances. He also attempted 113 shots (more than any other player), and is always in possession to convert opportunities.
Bet on Arsenal to Win the League
Man City made history by winning their fourth consecutive Premier League title last season, but it stands to reason that no side has ever won five.
So, the entire weight of history is against the Citizens prevailing again in 2024/25. Of course, Pep Guardiola’s side is no stranger to rewriting the record books, but there’s doubt surrounding the future of the mercurial Spaniard. Similarly, players like Jack Grealish and Kevin De Bruyne struggled for form last season and will have to improve markedly this time around.
Conversely, Arsenal have gone close in the last two seasons and were the best from a defensive perspective in 2024/25. They won 49.9% of their tackles last season and 50.2% of his aerial duels. Offensively, the Gunners outperformed their xG value by +9.9 goals and boasted one of the most efficient attacks in the EPL.
Sure, Arsenal will have to overcome their mental fragility to prevail from a winning position, but now may be the ideal time for them to end their 20 year title hiatus.
Pick Crystal Palace to Qualify for Europe
Outside of City and Arsenal, there’s a huge amount of doubt and uncertainty ahead of the new season. For example, Liverpool have yet to make a summer signing and are undergoing a transition under new head coach Arne Slot, while Manchester United and Chelsea continue to struggle for form and consistency.
Newcastle United may also have to sell one or two key players prior to the new season, so there may be an opportunity for an outside team to mount a push for Europe in 2024/25.
Crystal Palace are an outside pick to achieve this objective. Under the stewardship of Oliver Glasner, who took charge on February 19th, the Eagles have won 53.85% of their matches and deployed a fluid 3-4-2-1 formation. Palace have also won six of their previous seven games in the EPL and earned 20 points from the last 30 available to them.
Although they’ve lost Michael Olise to Bayern Munich, the Eagles will be a formidable force next season and could be in contention for a UEFA Europa League spot by the end of the campaign.
