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Home › Predictions › Manchester United vs Manchester City
Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

Manchester UnitedManchester United
Manchester CityManchester City
kick-off · Regular Season - 4
Venue Old Trafford · Manchester
Round Regular Season - 4
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
Manchester City to win
Model 45% vs implied 44% — edge +1%
2.25
best at Betninja
Model angle · Combo Winner : Manchester City and +2.5 goals
Best value: Draw +20% — model rates it higher than the 3.94 price at 1xBet
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Manchester United are rated 10% to win, with the draw at 45% and Manchester City at 45%. The model's recommended angle is Combo Winner : Manchester City and +2.5 goals, where the price still understates the true chance.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
Manchester United10%
Draw45%
Manchester City45%
Recent form
Manchester UnitedLWD
Manchester CityWWW
Last 5 goals — Manchester United 7 for / 6 ag · Manchester City 7 for / 2 ag
Head-to-head strength
31%Form69%
50%Attack50%
25%Defense75%
42%Overall58%
Recent head-to-head
Manchester United v Manchester City2-02026-01-17
Manchester City v Manchester United3-02025-09-14
Manchester United v Manchester City0-02025-04-06
Manchester City v Manchester United1-22024-12-15
Manchester City v Manchester United1-12024-08-10
See every book's price for Manchester United vs Manchester City→
Popular betsAll markets →
Correct Score
1:1 8.00Betninja
1:2 10.00Betninja
2:2 12.00Betninja
Anytime Scorer
Lisandro Martinez 17.00Betninja
Luke Shaw 17.00Betninja
Noussair Mazraoui 17.00Betninja
Double Chance
Home/Draw 1.74Betninja
Draw/Away 1.40Betninja
Home/Away 1.30Betninja

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18+
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