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HomePredictionsChelsea vs Brighton
Premier League · Regular Season - 2

Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

ChelseaChelsea
BrightonBrighton
kick-off · Regular Season - 2
Venue Stamford Bridge · London
Referee M. Oliver
Round Regular Season - 2
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
Brighton to win
Model 45% vs implied 25% — edge +20%
4.00
best at Betninja
Model angle · Combo Double chance : draw or Brighton and +1.5 goals

Chelsea are rated 10% to win, with the draw at 45% and Brighton at 45%. The model's recommended angle is Combo Double chance : draw or Brighton and +1.5 goals, where the price still understates the true chance.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
Chelsea10%
Draw45%
Brighton45%
Recent form
ChelseaW
BrightonW
Last 5 goals — Chelsea 3 for / 2 ag · Brighton 4 for / 0 ag
Head-to-head strength
50%Form50%
43%Attack57%
0%Defense100%
36%Overall64%
Recent head-to-head
Brighton v Chelsea3-02026-04-21
Chelsea v Brighton1-32025-09-27
Brighton v Chelsea3-02025-02-14
Brighton v Chelsea2-12025-02-08
Chelsea v Brighton4-22024-09-28
See every book's price for Chelsea vs Brighton
Popular betsAll markets →
Correct Score
1:1 8.00Betninja
2:1 9.50Betninja
1:0 10.00Betninja
Anytime Scorer
Olivier Boscagli 13.00Betninja
Jorrel Hato 12.00Betninja
Michael Svoboda 12.00Betninja
Double Chance
Draw/Away 1.99Betninja
Home/Draw 1.29Betninja
Home/Away 1.28Betninja

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