The home of football tactics, data & odds
Odds 18+
Home › Predictions › Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa
Segunda Liga · Regular Season - 11

Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

PenafielPenafiel
Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa
kick-off · Regular Season - 11
Venue Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril · Penafiel
Round Regular Season - 11
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
Penafiel to win
Model 45% vs implied 41% — edge +4%
2.39
best at Betninja
Model angle · Double chance : Penafiel or draw
Best value: Draw +13% — model rates it higher than the 3.13 price at BetVictor
The best place to place a bet
Betninja €1,000 + 100 Free Spins Bet now →
WinnerIsland Up to 55% on Acca with Multiboost Claim → CoinCasinoPro 200% Bonus up to $30,000 + 50 FS Claim →
18+ · Gamble responsibly · T&Cs apply · BeGambleAware.org

Penafiel are rated 45% to win, with the draw at 45% and Lusitânia Lourosa at 10%. The model's recommended angle is Double chance : Penafiel or draw, where the price still understates the true chance.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
Penafiel45%
Draw45%
Lusitânia Lourosa10%
Recent form
PenafielLDWWWWLWWW
Lusitânia LourosaWWDWWWDDDL
Last 5 goals — Penafiel 11 for / 6 ag · Lusitânia Lourosa 6 for / 6 ag
Head-to-head strength
67%Form33%
65%Attack35%
50%Defense50%
63%Overall37%
Recent head-to-head
Penafiel v Lusitânia Lourosa2-02026-02-16
Lusitânia Lourosa v Penafiel0-02025-09-13
See every book's price for Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa→
Popular betsAll markets →
Correct Score
1:1 6.10Betninja
1:0 7.70Betninja
0:0 8.50Betninja
Double Chance
Draw/Away 1.62Betninja
Home/Draw 1.37Betninja
Home/Away 1.36Betninja

Related analysis

Champions League
Matheus Nunes 2021/22: The Portuguese midfielder impressing in the Primeira Liga – Scout Report
December 24, 2021
18+
Please gamble responsibly. When live, 18+/21+ only, region-dependent. BeGambleAware.org · GamCare · National Council on Problem Gambling. TFA may earn commission from operators listed — this never affects our analysis or rankings.

Total Football Analysis — tactical journalism, now with live odds, model-backed predictions and an honest betting layer.

Odds

World Cup 2026Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa Liga

Predictions

Today's tipsWorld Cup hubHow we predictAccumulators
© 2026 Total Football Analysis. Odds via our live aggregation feed — prices change constantly, always confirm at the bookmaker.