After the conclusion of the 2021/22 season that saw Manchester City retain their Premier League trophy and Norwich, Watford and Burnley fall to relegation, there is a short break before the Premier League starts all over again for the 2022/23 season.
Manchester City and Liverpool have already made statement signings in attack, whilst Manchester United undergo yet another rebuilding process with incoming manager Erik Ten Hag already keen to kickstart the Ralph Ragnick-sparked exodus.
As Norwich, Watford, and Burnley’s relegation sees three fresh faces ahead of next season, Fulham and Bournemouth return to the Premier League following 2020/21 relegation.
Total Football Analysis takes a look at the early odds ahead of the 2022/23 season and provides early betting tips for those that want to get ahead of the curve and place early wagers before the season starts.
Premier League Winner Outright
If the early odds are anything to go by, it looks like yet again the next title will come down to a two-horse race between Manchester City and Liverpool. Manchester City’s statement signing of Erling Haaland seems to have sparked a reactionary signing in Darwin Nunez’s arrival at Liverpool. Aside from Tottenham’s signing of veteran Ivan Perisic, no side has dipped their toes into the transfer market just yet in an attempt to close the gap.
The closest challengers to the top two look to be Tottenham and Chelsea in equal measure if the bookies are anything to go by, both sides priced at a hefty 16/1 to win the league, with Manchester United even further back at 25/1.
Manchester City are rightfully favourites after back to back league title wins, however with that comes short odds. Priced at just 4/7 to win the 2022/23 Premier League, it will take a substantial stake to make profit here. Liverpool meanwhile, whilst also favoured heavily with the bookies with a price of 2/1, offer slightly more value.
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Given it will likely be a toss of the coin between these two sides, with new players coming in under high pressure to deliver, the value bet is likely the way to go. Last time Manchester City were asked to win a third league title in a row, it was Liverpool who stopped them, it would be a smart bet to back the same again.
Premier League Top Four
With Manchester City and Liverpool a shoe-in for two of the Top-4 spots with title races on their minds rather than Top-4 battles. After falling at the last hurdle last season, Arsenal will be looking to put right the mistakes made which unravelled such good progress under Mikel Arteta. Odds of 2/1 look to be the best value odds as Arteta’s side continue to grow and develop, as mistakes last season will only contribute to the squad’s experience.
Chelsea and Tottenham again sit tightly priced together at 8/11 (Chelsea) and 4/5 (Tottenham) as they both sealed Champions League football last season. Tottenham relied upon mistakes in front of them but impressive results against Arsenal, Manchester City, and Liverpool ensured they leapfrogged back into the qualification places at the final stages of the season. Chelsea kept pace with the front two for the first part of the title race, however fell away as the season progressed. Their strong start was enough to comfortably finish in the Top-4.
Manchester United’s disappointments looked to consistently compound with Cristiano Ronaldo being the only real shining light, despite receiving heavy criticism for the role he plays within the team himself. It looks like a rocky ship which still see’s no stability with yet another change in managerial structure with the departure of Ralph Rangick. Early signs of improvement in Ragnick’s Austria side point that the problems at Manchester United are deep-rooted. Priced at 6/5, it is unlikely that United will be able to mount a substantial Top-4 challenge if the surrounding clubs continue to progress, although with deep pockets should they get the transfers right then there is certainly value in this bet.
After Arsenal’s poor finish to the season last year, an improvement again is expected for this developing squad, and at 2/1 odds Arteta’s men are the first side that take up the TFA tip for Top-4. Back Arsenal at 2/1 with a £10 bet and receive £50 in free bets with bet365.
Chelsea again will look to mount another title challenge to close the gap to the top two, 8/11 doesn’t provide too much value odds wise, however it is difficult to look past Chelsea. New owners throw doubt on what the long-term future looks like at Stamford Bridge, but in the short-term expect Thomas Tuchel to continue to progress his side and land consecutive Champions League qualification since winning the tournament.
Premier League Relegation
Fulham (6/5), Bournemouth (4/7) and Nottingham Forest (4/5) gained promotion to the Premier League ahead of the 2022/23 season and are set to be the immediate favourites to return to the EFL Championship quickly.
Everton and Leeds survived late rescue jobs to ensure Premier League safety, however it is only Everton fans that will be feeling confident of avoiding a repeat in the coming season as Frank Lampard has begun to impress at Goodison Park. Southampton too found themselves surprisingly all too aware of what was ongoing beneath them as the end of the season approached after it looked like they were seemingly safe.
Brentford enjoyed a maiden season in the Premier League unscathed with impressive performances across the season. Disappointments were mixed in with the surprise results, however Brentford’s positive play and brave performances sealed safety with plenty of time to go.
Fulham look the strongest of the sides to gain promotion with Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest not quite having the squads to match reflected in the previous season’s league positions. At 4/7 and 4/5 respectively, expect Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest to enjoy just a single season in the Premier League.
Of the teams above them, Southampton are the final TFA selection to be relegated in 2022/23. After enjoying a long sustained period of Premier League football, it looks like each season Southampton edge further and further down the table. Poor performances individually and as a collective littered last season, and this does not look like changing. Impressive form of James Ward-Prowse has played a huge part in keeping the Saints up, but for how long can this last. Value at 3/1 is great here for the early punter, and could be a particularly smart bet.
