The home of football tactics, data & odds
Odds 18+
HomePredictionsEngland vs Argentina
World Cup · Semi-finals

England vs Argentina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

EnglandEngland
12
Full time
ArgentinaArgentina
kick-off · Semi-finals
Venue Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta
Referee Ismail Elfath, USA
Round Semi-finals
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
Argentina to win
Model angle · Double chance : draw or Argentina

England are rated 10% to win, with the draw at 45% and Argentina at 45%. The model's recommended angle is Double chance : draw or Argentina.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
England10%
Draw45%
Argentina45%
Recent form
EnglandWDWWWW
ArgentinaWWWWWW
Last 5 goals — England 9 for / 4 ag · Argentina 14 for / 6 ag
Head-to-head strength
46%Form54%
39%Attack61%
60%Defense40%
44%Overall56%
Group J standings
# Team Pld GD Pts Form
1 Argentina 3 +7 9 LWWWW
2 Austria 3 0 4 LDLW
3 Algeria 3 -2 4 LDWL
4 Jordan 3 -5 0 LLL
Group L standings
# Team Pld GD Pts Form
1 England 3 +4 7 WLWWW
2 Croatia 3 0 6 LWWL
3 Ghana 3 0 4 LLDW
4 Panama 3 -4 0 LLL

Related analysis

Head Coach Analysis
Norway’s First World Cup Quarter-Final: Inside the Solbakken System
July 13, 2026
Analysis
Omar Alderete Scout Report At Sunderland 2025/2026: The Black Cats’ Defensive Stabiliser – Player Analysis
April 18, 2026
Analysis
Josh King Scout Report At Fulham 2025/2026: Marco Silva’s Breakout Midfield Talent – Player Analysis
April 8, 2026
3-4-2-1 Formation
2026 FIFA World Cup Qualification Playoff Final: Sweden Vs Poland – Tactical Preview
March 31, 2026
18+
Please gamble responsibly. When live, 18+/21+ only, region-dependent. BeGambleAware.org · GamCare · National Council on Problem Gambling. TFA may earn commission from operators listed — this never affects our analysis or rankings.

Total Football Analysis — tactical journalism, now with live odds, model-backed predictions and an honest betting layer.

© 2026 Total Football Analysis. Odds via our live aggregation feed — prices change constantly, always confirm at the bookmaker.