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Home Opinion

Using Stats and Strategy to Win at the Bookmakers

Chris Beaumont by Chris Beaumont
October 22, 2019
in Opinion
0
Manchester United Liverpool tactical analysis tactics analysis

Another similar scenario - van Dijk is upfield and has left space for Pereira to run into

Football gambling is one of the fastest-growing sectors of the gambling industry, with more and more fans taking a data-driven approach to predicting football results.

There is more data on football available than ever before, and most of it is free on websites and phone apps to help you make bets that are informed by knowledge. You don’t even have to be a fan of the game to make a little money from football wagers, but it does help.

It can be difficult to know where to start when researching football for gambling, so here we have provided three things for you to look for when you are scouring the spreadsheets and choosing your bets.

Use the Current Form and the History of a Tie to Pick Winning Outcomes

Just by checking the form of a team and the historical results of a tie, you can give yourself an advantage when placing bets.

A team that has won many of their previous games, and has a history of beating their next opponents both home and away, is highly likely to win the match. Bets like these often have lower odds, but they can be combined in an accumulator with other low odd bets to increase their potential return. By placing a higher stake on a low odd single, you can make a tidy profit on the money of around 50%, getting £5 profit from a £10 bet, for example.

Search for Ties that will Result in a Draw

If you can spot a draw or two in a fixtures list, you can get some high returns on small stakes. Matches that end in a draw often carry higher odds and offer a gambler good value bets if they can pick them out.

Some gamblers take advantage of new customer specials like the Sportingbet Welcome Offer to begin their gambling careers using a bookmaker’s money. Offers like these, which you can search for on Freebet Up, allow you to place accumulator and single bets, and get money back if the bet loses or will add extra money to your initial deposit.

Identify Players that Are Good for a Goal or a Card

When a football player hits the peak of their form, they can seem impossible to stop. By going deeper and studying the player data, as well as team data, you can find players that are likely to score and get better odds and a higher return from your goal-scoring predictions.

Another angle is looking at the disciplinary records or players, and even whole teams. Betting on a player receiving a card in a game can often be lucrative, and gambling on the amount of ‘booking points’ a team receives in a game can also offer good odds. In booking point bets, yellow cards have a value of 10 points, and a red card 25 points.

Betting on football is a great way to have a little extra fun on a matchday, and maybe make a little extra money. It is always important to gamble responsibly, however, and make sure you never gamble with money you can’t afford to lose or start chasing your losses with excessive betting. When the fun stops, you stop.

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