The home of football tactics, data & odds
Odds 18+
Home › Predictions › Chelsea vs Leeds
Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

ChelseaChelsea
LeedsLeeds
kick-off · Regular Season - 11
Venue Stamford Bridge · London
Round Regular Season - 11
Kick-off
TFA BEST BETConfidence 2/3 · model 45%
Recommended bet
Chelsea to win
Model 45% vs implied 52% — edge -7%
1.88
best at Betninja
Model angle · Double chance : Chelsea or draw
The best place to place a bet
Betninja €1,000 + 100 Free Spins Bet now →
WinnerIsland Up to 55% on Acca with Multiboost Claim → CoinCasinoPro 200% Bonus up to $30,000 + 50 FS Claim →
18+ · Gamble responsibly · T&Cs apply · BeGambleAware.org

Chelsea are rated 45% to win, with the draw at 45% and Leeds at 10%. The model's recommended angle is Double chance : Chelsea or draw.

Implied vs model

Win probability — TFA model
Chelsea45%
Draw45%
Leeds10%
Recent form
ChelseaWWLDLWWLWL
LeedsWDDWDLDDLW
Last 5 goals — Chelsea 9 for / 4 ag · Leeds 3 for / 5 ag
Head-to-head strength
64%Form36%
75%Attack25%
56%Defense44%
65%Overall35%
Recent head-to-head
Chelsea v Leeds6-32026-09-09
Chelsea v Leeds1-02026-04-26
Chelsea v Leeds2-22026-02-10
Leeds v Chelsea3-12025-12-03
Chelsea v Leeds3-22024-02-28
See every book's price for Chelsea vs Leeds→
Popular betsAll markets →
Correct Score
1:1 7.50Betninja
1:0 9.00Betninja
2:1 9.50Betninja
Anytime Scorer
Gabriel Gudmundsson 15.00Betninja
Nico Elvedi 15.00Betninja
Melvin Bard 15.00Betninja
Double Chance
Draw/Away 2.07Betninja
Home/Away 1.29Betninja
Home/Draw 1.26Betninja

Related analysis

Premier League
Dorgu completes late fightback as Manchester United draw 4-4 with Aston Villa
November 8, 2026
 Premier League
Havertz goal gives Arsenal 1-0 win at Liverpool and a 3-point lead at the top
November 3, 2026
 Premier League
Oliver Glasner warns Nottingham Forest the sixth manager will come in after Brentford defeat
November 1, 2026
 Premier League
Gray and van Hecke strike as Tottenham beat ten-man Crystal Palace 2-0
November 1, 2026
18+
Please gamble responsibly. When live, 18+/21+ only, region-dependent. BeGambleAware.org · GamCare · National Council on Problem Gambling. TFA may earn commission from operators listed — this never affects our analysis or rankings.

Total Football Analysis — tactical journalism, now with live odds, model-backed predictions and an honest betting layer.

Odds

World Cup 2026Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa Liga

Predictions

Today's tipsWorld Cup hubHow we predictAccumulators
© 2026 Total Football Analysis. Odds via our live aggregation feed — prices change constantly, always confirm at the bookmaker.