As the weeks continue, the title race slowly becomes clearer and clearer as to who has the edge in this campaign of the FAWSL. For much of the season, Arsenal Women have led the way, but consecutive losses to rivals Manchester City Women and Chelsea Women have left them fighting to keep up.
This Sunday, we have arguably the most important match for the remainder of the campaign. Chelsea Women travel to play league leaders Manchester City Women, who they trail by a single point with a game-in-hand. Both sides still have important matches as the season winds down City travel to play Manchester United Women and Chelsea play Everton Women twice but this game is the last time for either side to make sure that the title race is in their own hands. With the game in hand for Chelsea, a win or draw leaves them in pole position, but a Manchester City Women victory would leave that game-in-hand null and void.
In the tactical analysis preview, we will look at the approaches we can expect from either side. We will touch on the tactics used in the reverse fixture earlier this season that saw Chelsea grab a 2-1 victory, and how City can look to improve from this performance to get the win themselves this time around.
Lineups
One of the most impressive parts of Emma Hayes’ Chelsea side so far this campaign is you are never able to say with confidence how they will line up. As soon as they get comfortable in a formation such as 4-4-2, they switch and play in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-1-4-1. The London side is extremely deep with a lot of attacking talent, and as an opposing manager, you have to try and account for every possible structure Chelsea can use.
With that said, it is likely we will see Chelsea continue to use the 4-4-2 formation. Sam Kerr has been out of the side since their 4-1 demolition of Arsenal Women, with an injury and international duty with Australia keeping her away. That being said, she is back with the side and training. With the quality she possesses, it is difficult not to include her in a match of this magnitude.
Chelsea Women (4-4-2): Berger; Mjelde, Bright, Eriksson, Andersson; Reiten, Ji, Ingle, Cuthbert; Kerr, England
For Manchester City Women, they are coming off the back of a 10-0 victory over Ipswitch Town Women in the Women’s FA Cup. Their attack is firing on all cylinders and they will be looking to keep this up. Similar to Chelsea, the Manchester side will be boosted by the return of their make-shift right-back Janine Beckie, who has excelled in the role since her inclusion in this position of the side. Her return gives City a massive boost in their attack down the right side and will give Hayes a lot to think about as she prepares for this match.
Manchester City Women (4-3-3): Roebuck; Beckie, Houghton, Bonner, Stokes; Walsh, Weir, Scott; Bremmer, White, Hemp
Chelsea’s recent success
Much of Chelsea Women’s success, particularly against top sides, has been their pressing structures when possession is lost. Hayes sets her side up to suffocate the opponent when they are in their defensive set-up in a bid to win back possession and move back into the attacking phase as quickly as possible. Against Arsenal Women a month ago, we saw the London side line up in a 4-4-2. However, instead of the traditional flat midfield line we normally see, they often used a midfield diamond. This tactical shift created a 4v3 advantage over Arsenal’s midfield and restricted them from getting into their typical possession-based football. Chelsea and Arsenal have the joint lowest passes per defensive action (PPDA) in the league. However, in the matches against each other, Chelsea’s PPDA has been significantly lower 9.76 to 12.14 in the latest matchup than their London rivals, emphasising their focus on their pressing tactics.
While City and Arsenal set up differently, we could see this ideology still being used by Chelsea. Keira Walsh and Caroline Weir are immensely influential for the league leaders, and restricting the effect they can have on the match would give Chelsea a massive advantage in this match.
With Chelsea setting up in a 4-4-2, instead of using this tactic once more, it is possible we could see them shift into a shape more similar to a 4-2-3-1 out of possession. With this, Kerr would drop into a deeper position behind Bethany England, and give another pressing option to the main midfield two for City. The Australian international is equally adept at playing in this type of role off of the main striker as she is at being the finisher herself. Her work-rate off the ball and passing ability make her perfect for this secondary striker role, and Hayes will undoubtedly use this to her advantage as the season goes on.
City’s long passing tactics
With Manchester City Women’s new structure, we have seen a couple of new tactics deployed as well. One of these could play a major part in Sunday’s match.
City has followed in the model of the men’s side in recent seasons, and have put an emphasis on possession-based play through a midfield three in a 4-3-3 formation. This has included a player acting as a single pivot Walsh and two eight’s who have the freedom to roam forward in attack Weir and Jill Scott. To begin this campaign we saw this shape being used, but factors such as injuries have forced the side to adapt. We have spoken in detail previously on Manchester City Women’s tactical alterations having to do with Beckie’s inclusion in the side, and the effects this has had.
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